Orvana Minerals Corp Stock Performance

ORVMF Stock  USD 1.31  0.05  3.68%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Orvana Minerals holds a performance score of 8. The company holds a Beta of 2.1, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Orvana Minerals will likely underperform. Please check Orvana Minerals' downside variance, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and price action indicator , to make a quick decision on whether Orvana Minerals' historical price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Orvana Minerals Corp are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile primary indicators, Orvana Minerals reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
  

Orvana Minerals Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  102.00  in Orvana Minerals Corp on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  29.00  from holding Orvana Minerals Corp or generate 28.43% return on investment over 90 days. Orvana Minerals Corp is currently producing 0.5655% returns and takes up 5.4721% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 49% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Orvana, and 89% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Orvana Minerals is expected to generate 7.26 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 7.26 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Orvana Minerals Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Orvana Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.31 90 days 1.31 
about 58.99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Orvana Minerals to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 58.99 (This Orvana Minerals Corp probability density function shows the probability of Orvana Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 2.1 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Orvana Minerals will likely underperform. Additionally Orvana Minerals Corp has an alpha of 0.4907, implying that it can generate a 0.49 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Orvana Minerals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Orvana Minerals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orvana Minerals Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.316.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.306.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.296.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.261.511.76
Details

Orvana Minerals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Orvana Minerals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Orvana Minerals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Orvana Minerals Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Orvana Minerals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.49
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.10
σ
Overall volatility
0.22
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Orvana Minerals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Orvana Minerals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Orvana Minerals Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Orvana Minerals Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Orvana Minerals Corp may become a speculative penny stock
Orvana Minerals Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Orvana Minerals Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Orvana Minerals Corp has accumulated 9.26 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.37, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Orvana Minerals Corp has a current ratio of 0.72, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Orvana Minerals until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Orvana Minerals' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Orvana Minerals Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Orvana to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Orvana Minerals' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 94.67 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.72 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.29 M.
About 52.0% of Orvana Minerals outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Orvana Minerals Fundamentals Growth

Orvana Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Orvana Minerals, and Orvana Minerals fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Orvana Pink Sheet performance.

About Orvana Minerals Performance

By analyzing Orvana Minerals' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Orvana Minerals' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Orvana Minerals has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Orvana Minerals has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Orvana Minerals Corp., a mining and exploration company, engages in the evaluation, development, and mining of precious and base metal deposits. Orvana Minerals Corp. is a subsidiary of Fabulosa Mines Limited. Orvana Minerals operates under Other Precious Metals Mining classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange.

Things to note about Orvana Minerals Corp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Orvana Minerals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Orvana Minerals Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Orvana Minerals Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Orvana Minerals Corp may become a speculative penny stock
Orvana Minerals Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Orvana Minerals Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Orvana Minerals Corp has accumulated 9.26 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.37, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Orvana Minerals Corp has a current ratio of 0.72, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Orvana Minerals until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Orvana Minerals' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Orvana Minerals Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Orvana to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Orvana Minerals' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 94.67 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.72 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.29 M.
About 52.0% of Orvana Minerals outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Evaluating Orvana Minerals' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Orvana Minerals' pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Orvana Minerals' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Orvana Minerals' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Orvana Minerals' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Orvana Minerals' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Orvana Minerals' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Orvana Minerals' pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Orvana Minerals' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Orvana Minerals' pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Orvana Minerals' pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Orvana Pink Sheet analysis

When running Orvana Minerals' price analysis, check to measure Orvana Minerals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Orvana Minerals is operating at the current time. Most of Orvana Minerals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Orvana Minerals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Orvana Minerals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Orvana Minerals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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